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Winter Outlook Indicates Drought May Continue Across Much of New England

Northeast Faces Prolonged Drought Amid Climatic Shifts

Springfield, VT – The Northeast is grappling with a significant drought this fall, with many areas experiencing unprecedented dry conditions. Springfield, Vermont reported rainfall levels below half of what is typically expected since September, while New York City marked a historic low with just 0.01 inches recorded in October, making it the city’s driest month on record.

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center, this dry trend is likely to persist through the winter and may become more frequent in the future due to human-induced climate change. Jessica Spaccio, a climatologist at the Northeast Regional Climate Center, emphasized that while predictions suggest varied precipitation levels this winter, regions are currently averaging deficits of about eight inches. “A few storms won’t erase all the drought,” she noted.

Experts recognize that changes can happen quickly. Peter Banacos from the National Weather Service in Burlington reminded that the Northeast typically enjoys reliable rainfall. “Even though we’re seeing abnormally dry conditions right now, it can certainly change,” he stated. The upcoming weeks are expected to bring colder temperatures as the jet stream dips, although NOAA forecasts a 40 to 50 percent likelihood of above-average temperatures for the winter.

The ongoing dry conditions align with a La Niña climate pattern, which intermittently affects weather dynamics across North America. However, Spaccio cautioned that this La Niña is predicted to be weak, potentially allowing other climate influences to take precedence. As the region navigates these unpredictable weather patterns, questions linger about how these changes will impact the Northeast’s future.

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Photo credit www.vermontpublic.org

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